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Sunday, February 5, 2017

ALERT!!! CRITICAL TIMES AHEAD

ALERT!!! CRITICAL TIMES AHEAD.

Normally such warnings of doomsday are a plenty on the net.

But my warning is clearly related to the Finance field.
As the Sensex and Nifty are galloping away into the sun- there is a sense of unabashed optimism everywhere.
MFs have overtaken Insurance as investors in the market and people are headed towards MFs in throngs.
Whenever there is such optimism, there is a reason to pause and look around.I do not mean in the pessimistic way- but just caution.Most of the calamities and disasters have taken place when people were not watching enough.
So now as the market seem to be only headed in one direction I have some advice for different set of people, especially the seafarers- because it is them that I understand better.
1. Those who are young: They must NOT make any bulk purchases and must continue their regular purchases via the SIP or better still STP route. In a volatile market higher frequency of STP gives better results. So you can even switch from weekly mode to Daily mode if it is offered by your MF. i.e. if you have a 5000/- per week STP, you may change it to Rs.1000/- per day.If on monthly mode then you may go in for weekly mode. Since SIPs are offered on monthly basis- it may put you in some inconvenience to start 5 SIPs for every fund.

2. Those who are in the middle age group and about 10 years away from retirement- should review the funds in their portfolio and make a switch if required. Do not be misguided by which fund gave best returns last year or last 2 years. Go by a performance of at least 5 years. Further they should maintain the Equity to debt ratio of 75:25 or 80:20. If due to market going up the portfolio becomes heavy on Equity- then switch to the debt schemes and bring the ratio back.

3. Those who are near retirement should maintain a more conservative ratio of Eq:Debt of 60:40 but should not go below that otherwise their portfolio value may start eroding.
4. So remember to AVOID BULK PURCHASE or BULK investment even if you have a windfall or a have come across lately into large money. At such high levels even a drop of 2% in the indexes may not exactly give you value buying. So just stick to disciplined investing- it has shown to work best.
 

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