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Friday, September 24, 2010

ABOUT GOLD PRICES VIS-A VIS STOCK PRICES


Today my batch mate put up a query :"Why the gold prices are going up when the Stocks are also high".

Following is my reply.

I’m actually flattered that someone asked me something except why the M/E scavenge temp is going up.

About the gold ? Well.. ahem!!!

Is it actually linked with stock prices??

It’s never been.

1. Being a scarce commodity , it’s price is only linked to one thing – DEMAND.

2. This demand can come from:

a) Consumer demand like India for festival season.

b) Investor demand like bullion.

c) Shifting of investment avenues from World currencies to commodity.

d) This can happen in case of war- like it happened during Iran –Iraq war, Kuwait occupation etc.

e) Economic uncertainties like at present.

f) If you earned in a particular currency and did not have faith in it like US or EURO- then where will you keep it- obviously in a mode which is reliable, current and is small to hold- you have gold and platinum is catching up.

Just out of the context but if you are earning in USD it makes sense to keep about 5% of yr savings in GOLD ETFs. This mode will help it stay in gold form and not be converted to jewellery ( when you are not watching).

I am also certain that Silver and platinum are also to be held but I do not know how I can take delivery of it in cash and hold on to it till I want.

So you see it is back to MFs.